Friday, June 27 / 4:00 PM - 5:30 PM   •   Lecture Room 328

Session 90:
New methodological approaches to demographic forecasts and projections

Chair: Nico Keilman, University of Oslo

  1. The sensitivity analysis of population projections • Hal Caswell, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution ; Nora Sánchez Gassen, University of Southampton

  2. Sub national population projection: how to deal with heterogeneity? • Samir K.C., Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU) ; Markus Speringer, Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU)

  3. Forecasting age patterns of international migration: adapting and extending the Lee-Carter Model to different data types and time series • James Raymer, Australian National University ; Arkadiusz Wisniowski, University of Southampton

  4. Dynamic forecast of irregular mortality developments within a Bayesian framework • Christina Bohk, University of Rostock ; Roland Rau, University of Rostock

  5. Incorporating model uncertainty into fertility schedule estimates for population forecasting • Jonathan Forster, University of Southampton ; Jakub Bijak, University of Southampton ; Peter W. F. Smith, University of Southampton

Other sessions on Data and methods